UK Racing News |
|
|
Fixed Odds Loophole Exploit the
loophole in the way football fixed odds prices are compiled..
Click to Read
on. Zero Risk Arbitrage Learn how to find and make arbitrage bets where you win whatever the outcome... Click to Read on Casino Scalping Learn how to take free signup bonuses from Casinos & keep them.. Click to Read on Football Cash Generator The best method for consistently profiting from the Betting Exchanges.. Click here to Read on Make your first Million trading the financial markets.. Click here to Read on Scoop 6 Syndicate Get 900 lines in every Scoop 6.. Click Here to Read On |
Saturday, October 30, 2004BBC SPORT |Friday's racing bulletin BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Friday's racing bulletin: "The Five Live selection is Middlethorpe in the 1535 at Wetherby (all times BST). Friday's racing comes from Newmarket, Wetherby and Uttoxeter. The ground is soft at Newmarket but that has not deterred trainers and there are no shortage of runners. Nanabanana in the 1405 travels over from France and looks sure to handle the ground, unlike most of her opponents. The filly has form in this country and would only need to reproduce her second behind Dubai Surprise at Goodwood to win this listed contest. " posted by Darren Power on 8:07 AM Racing: Lone Star turf magical for Ouija Board By Richard Edmondson in Dallas 29 October 2004 Under the cover of darkness, the entire British challenge for Breeders' Cup XXI emerged on to the track here at Lone Star Park yesterday. Both of them. It is the smallest contingent from these islands in the history of the thoroughbred world championships, but it is not an entry without hope. Jeremy Noseda's Wilko has a chance in an unusually undersubscribed Juvenile by dint of the fact there are just eight runners, but Ouija Board is the big shot and the numbers which count for her are the form figures preceding her name."Full Story: " posted by Darren Power on 8:07 AM Thursday, October 28, 2004The Daily Telegraph | The UK Cup BART Cummings says Australia's greatest race, the Melbourne Cup, is being swamped by international stayers and should be renamed the "UK Cup". Cummings said the handicapping of horses entered for the Melbourne Cup had changed over the years and now heavily favoured the better-performed horses from the northern hemisphere. There will be as many as six overseas starters in the big race at Flemington next Tuesday – Vinnie Roe, Mamool, Media Puzzle, Razkalla, Distinction and Fantastic Love. The Daily Telegraph | The UK Cup posted by Darren Power on 12:11 PM BBC SPORT | Wednesday's racing bulletin "The Five Live selection is Comply or Die in the 1545 at Cheltenham (all times BST). Wednesday's racing comes from Great Yarmouth, Cheltenham and Sedgefield. The racing at Cheltenham is top class with all the big stables represented and the ground remains good. Carl Llewellyn and Nigel Twiston Davies have been mopping up recently and the pair have some outstanding chances again at Cheltenham. "BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Wednesday's racing bulletin: posted by Darren Power on 10:09 AM Racing: Europeans fear the Texan turns "By Richard Edmondson in Dallas 27 October 2004 The Breeders' Cup taskforce of Britain and Europe will try out the track here at Lone Star Park for the first time this morning and, climactically, it may not be the shocking experience many had predicted. Strange weather, typical British autumnal stuff, has arrived deep in the heart of Texas, three inches of rain visiting just overnight. Dallas-Fort Worth was closed for a period as storms ringed the airport, but the European craft touched down safely at Dallas Love Field on Monday afternoon"Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 10:08 AM Tuesday, October 26, 2004BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Dry ground threatens Vinnie hopes BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Dry ground threatens Vinnie hopes: "Last Updated: Monday, 25 October, 2004, 08:48 GMT 09:48 UK E-mail this to a friend Printable version Dry ground threatens Vinnie hopes Vinnie Roe is already in Australia preparing for the Melbourne Cup Four-time Irish St Leger winner Vinnie Roe will not run in next week's Melbourne Cup unless it rains. The six-year-old, who is trained in Ireland by Dermot Weld, is one of the favourites for Australia's biggest race, which takes place on 2 November. But trainer's son Mark said that the horse would not be risked unless more rain falls. 'Everything hinges on what falls from above. If there is not a considerable ease in the ground, he won't partake,' he said. " posted by Darren Power on 1:03 PM BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Monday's racing bulletin BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Monday's racing bulletin: "The Five Live selection is Circassian in the 1540 at Lingfield (all times BST). Monday's racing comes from Lingfield and Wolverhampton - the meeting at Leicester has been abandoned because of waterlogging. Tuesday's meetings at Catterick and Nottingham have already been called off because of a similar problem. Sir Mark Prescott's horses are enjoying a purple patch and his good run of form can continue with Circassian in Lingfield's 1540. " posted by Darren Power on 10:43 AM Godolphin swoop for top colt Shamardal Sport: " By Sue Montgomery 25 October 2004 This is the time of year when any trainer with a decent juvenile owned by the Maktoum family tries not to answer the phone. But the bell tolled yesterday for Mark Johnston with the news that the unbeaten two-year-old Shamardal, who galloped to 2,000 Guineas favouritism with his thrilling Dewhurst Stakes victory nine days ago, has been transferred to Godolphin as part of the blue team's annual end-of-season trawl of talent." posted by Darren Power on 8:07 AM Friday, October 22, 2004BBC SPORT | Amberleigh unimpressive on return BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Amberleigh unimpressive on return: "Grand National winner Amberleigh House finished well down the field in his first race since his Aintree triumph. The 12-year-old jumped well but finally trailed home ninth in a 12-runner handicap hurdle at Haydock, which was won by 10-1 shot Accepting. Amberleigh House, trained by Ginger McCain, was sixth in the same race last year and third in 2002. His next target will be the Tote Becher Chase at Aintree next month with another crack at the Grand National his ultimate aim. " posted by Darren Power on 4:29 PM BBC SPORT | Thursday's racing bulletin BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Thursday's racing bulletin: "Today's Five Live selection is Made In France in the 1530 at Ludlow (all times BST). Brighton passed a 0730 inspection so there will be three race meetings on Wednesday with Haydock Park and Ludlow making up the trio. Brighton had 5mm of rain until midnight but a drying wind means conditions are raceable with the ground is currently soft, heavy in places. The ground at Ludlow is much faster being mainly good with good to soft patches. " posted by Darren Power on 8:50 AM Racing: Australia threatens British ban This story is going to run and run, this piece is from the London Independant By John Cobb 21 October 2004 Greg Nichols, the British Horseracing Board chief executive has denounced a threat by the Australian Racing Board to ban British-trained horses from next year's Melbourne and Caulfield Cups and Cox Plate unless the British-based betting exchange, Betfair, is banned from the country. The Australians claim exchanges are a threat to the integrity of the sport. Exchanges would also, of course, diminish the amount bet through the state-owned betting system. 'The inference that British racing is rife with corruption is a suggestion I utterly repudiate,' Nichols said. 'Betting exchanges present opportunities and threats to horseracing, but it is outrageous to impugn British racing's integrity to advance a particular agenda.' "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 7:17 AM Wednesday, October 20, 2004BBC SPORT | Sporazene wins on chasing debut Sporazene enjoyed an impressive debut over fences when winning a novice chase at Exeter. Ridden by Ruby Walsh, the five-year-old made just two errors of any note and eased into the lead four fences from home, finally winning by 13 lengths. Sporazene, sent off the 1-2 favourite for the 2m 1½f race, was already the ante-post market leader for the Arkle Chase at Cheltenham next March. Full Story posted by Darren Power on 5:28 PM BBC SPORT | Tuesday's racing bulletin "Today's Five Live selection (four of the last six have won) is Willie John Daly in the 1540 at Exeter. Racing today comes from Bath, Wolverhampton and Exeter. Frankie Dettori can go further clear in the jockeys' championship with five rides at Bath, where the ground is officially soft. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 9:14 AM Racing: Ouija Board the Texas trailblazer "By Richard Edmondson 19 October 2004 It seems, from the British and Irish perspective at least, that the venue for this year's Breeders' Cup is most appropriate. Lone Star Park in Texas is where racing's Olympics will be held on Saturday week and Ouija Board stands as the sole luminary from these parts travelling to Grand Prairie. It appears a cowboy mentality has set in. Lone Star Park is the smallest site in 21 runnings of the Breeders' Cup and the reason for its appearance on the roster is unclear. It could indeed be that the event executive are keen to spread their favours around North America, but then it could also be a state desire to get hold of the championships, because what Texans want they usually tend to get."Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 6:45 AM Poker - Playable Hands Part 2 As stated in the previous article, the following are suggested guidelines for an average 9 handed $2/$4 Limit Hold 'em table, where it is neither an aggressive or very tight line up. Slight adjustments would have to be made if the game became too tight, and likewise if the game became a little wild. Pocket Pairs were discussed in the previous article. The following is advice for 'suited' starting hands, i.e. both cards are of the same suit: * AK - Play and raise at every opportunity in any position, only put the brakes on against tight opponents * AQ - Play and raise in any position. Don't re-raise * AJ, A10, KQ - Play in any position. Raise in late position. Raise in the blinds heads up * A9, A8, A7, KJ - Call in un-raised pots. Preferably in mid or late position. Only raise in the blinds heads up against weak opponents * A5, A4, A3, A2, K10, K9, QJ, Q10, J10 - Only call in late position in un-raised pots. Pass in raised pots or in bad position. Only raise in the blinds heads up against weak opponents * K8, K7, K6, K5, K4, K3, K2, Q9, Q8, J9, J8, T9, T8, T7, 98, 97 87, 86, 76, 75, 65, 64, 54 - Only call in late position in un-raised pots. Pass in raised pots or in bad position. * Q7, Q6, Q5, Q4, Q3, Q2, J7, J6, J5, J4, J3, J2, T6, T5, T4, T3, T2, 96, 95, 94, 93, 92, 85, 84, 83, 82, 74, 73, 72, 63, 62, 53, 52, 43, 42, 32 - Pass these hands. They are unprofitable. The following is advice for un-suited starting hands, i.e. both cards are of a different suit: * AK, AQ - Play and raise in any position. Re-raise in late position. * AJ, A10, KQ - Call in any position. Raise in late position if the pot is un-raised. * KJ, A9, A8 - Call in any position in un-raised pots. Raise in the blinds heads up * A7, A6, A5, A4, A3, A2, K10 - Pass in early and mid position. Call in late position. Raise in the blinds heads up * QJ, Q10, Q9 ,J10 ,J9, T9, 98, 87 - Pass in early and mid position. Call in late position. * K9, K8, K7, K6, K5, K4, K3, K2, Q8, Q7, Q6, Q5, Q4, Q3, Q2, J8, J7, J6, J5, J4, J3, J2, T8, T7, T6, T5, T4, T3, T2, 97, 96, 95, 94, 93, 92, 86, 85, 84, 83, 82, 76, 75, 74, 73, 72, 63, 62, 53, 52, 43, 42, 32 - Pass these hands. They are unprofitable. Courtesey of Bet 365 posted by Darren Power on 6:23 AM Monday, October 18, 2004Victor Chandler will pay your RACING UK subscription & give you a free £50 bet Victor Chandler are currently offering a 50% cashback on initial deposit for new customers & to pay your UK Racing subscription for new or for existing customers. Click Here posted by Darren Power on 9:55 AM Channel 4 Offer from Bet 365 Of the six Channel 4 races last Saturday, five were won by a horse with an SP bigger than 4/1, which was good news for the thousands of our customers who backed the likes The Prince (6/1) and Jonny Ebeneezer (13/2), who were then able to take advantage of our Channel 4 Offer. With another five live races this Saturday, here’s a reminder of how it works - back a winner at 4/1 or over in any of these races and receive a free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next live Channel 4 race. If your free bet also wins at 4/1 or over, have another free bet on the next live Channel 4 race. Saturday’s Channel 4 races (subject to change):- Newmarket: 14.05; 14.45 (Cesarewitch); 15.25; 16.00 (Champion Stakes). Catterick: 14.25. Click Here for Bet 365 posted by Darren Power on 9:21 AM BBC SPORT | Dettori gets Personal Rush ride "Frankie Dettori will ride Japanese colt Personal Rush in the Breeders' Cup Classic in Texas on 30 October. Personal Rush won last month's Group One Derby Grand Prix in Japan by nine lengths in a track record time. 'We believe that Personal Rush is the best three-year-old colt here in Japan,' said Taki Murayama, agent for owner Tomiro Fukami. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 9:03 AM Friday, October 15, 2004BBC SPORT Eleven aimed at Champion Stakes "Eleven contenders are set to line up for the Emirate Airlines Champion Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday. Mubtaker was not among the horses named at the 24-hour declaration stage for the Group One contest"Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 5:27 PM BBC SPORT | Fallon returns to riding action "Champion Flat jockey Kieren Fallon is set for five rides as comes back from injury at Newmarket on Friday. The Irish rider has been out of action since suffering a nasty fall at Leicester on Monday. Fallon's absence has seen him fall further behind Frankie Dettori in the jockeys'champinship. Some bookmakers have already payed out on the Italian, who went 16 winners clear of the six-time champion with a double on Wednesday. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 12:20 PM BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Thursday's racing bulletin "The Five Live selection is Red Dahlia in the 1515 at Taunton (all times BST). Shamardal, a leading contender for next season's 2000 Guineas and probable favourite for Saturday's Dewhurst stakes, will not be running in the colours of Abdulla Buhaleeba. The colt, along with five others, has changed ownership and will now run for Gainsborough Stud. Thursday's racing takes place at Newmarket, Worcester and Taunton. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 8:30 AM Newmarket Champions Day Saturday 16th The highlight of Saturday’s Champions Day card is undoubtedly the re-match between Azamour and Doyen in the Group One Champion Stakes. The race gives Doyen the chance to redeem himself after flopping in the Irish Champion Stakes behind Azamour last time out. That run was too bad to be true, and it is worth remembering that he had looked a truly top-class performer after his impressive victory in the King George back in July. His trainer Saeed Bin Surror has his team in brilliant shape (four wins on Monday), while the horse has since been putting in some sparkling displays on the home gallops. Jockey Frankie Dettori has chosen him in front of stablemate Refuse To Bend (who has the form to match the best of these), and the hint should be taken. bet365 Champion Stakes prices … Azamour 11/4, Doyen 7/2, Lucky Story 5/1, Mister Monet 11/2, Refuse To Bend, Haafhd 10/1, others on bet365 website. The big betting race on the card is the Tote Cesarewitch, a 36-runner handicap over 2 ¼ miles – shouldn’t be too difficult to solve then! Their has been a considerable ante-post gamble on the Irish runner – Orpington – but that looks set to go astray as he is now a doubtful runner. Jumpers have an excellent record in the race, with six of the last eight winners having had decent hurdle form, and the most likely candidate from that sphere appears to be Mr Ed. The six-year-old has been a revelation this year, winning five races (four hurdles, one flat), and giving the impression that he will relish this marathon trip. He could well go off favourite on the day, but at a bigger price a chance is taken with It’s The Limit trained by Amanda Perrett, whose father Guy Harwood had an excellent with staying horses, winning this race ten years ago with Captains Guest. It’s The Limit has been slow to mature (only 9 races in his life), but has always given the impression that he was a high-class stayer in the making (finished well over two miles last time out), and looks set to improve again over this trip. bet365 Cesarewitch prices … Orpington 7/1, Escayola, Mr Ed 8/1, No Refuge 9/1, Tungsten Strike, Distant Prospect, Tempsford, It’s The Limit 12/1, others on bet365 website. posted by Darren Power on 6:57 AM Wednesday, October 13, 2004Playable Poker Hands A bit off theme I know but I do enjoy these Poker tips from Bet 365 In an earlier article I suggested the sort of hands that you should, or should not be playing. In the next couple of articles I will deal with starting hands more specifically. As with all aspects of poker there really aren't any specific rules, so the following is only a suggested guide. It is also more relevant to Limit Hold'em, where playing the correct cards will grind out a winning strategy most of the time, if your discipline can outlast the 'luck rollercoaster'. In No Limit Hold'em it could be argued that you can play any cards if the position, state of the game, and depth of chips is great enough. Even in NLH though, it is probably best not to waiver too far from the following... unless your name is Gus Hansen or David Ulliot. I'll split the hand types into three: pocket pairs, suited cards and unsuited cards. The following suggestions are probably most suited to an average 9 handed $2/$4 table, where it is neither an aggressive, or very tight line up. Slight adjustments would have to be made if the game became too tight, and likewise if the game became a little wild. Pocket Pairs and Limit Hold em. * Aces, Kings, Queens - Play, raise and re-raise at every opportunity in any position, any amount of players. Don't 4-bet Queens against very tight opponents * Jacks, Tens, Nines - Play and raise in any position. Only re-raise in late position against 1 opponent. If there are three or four opponents after the flop, you will need to be holding an overpair or a set. * Eights, Sevens - Play in un-raised pots. Only raise in heads up situations such as the blinds. Heads up, you are likely to win with just the pair of eights. Against two opponents or more, you need help on the flop. * Sixes, Fives - Pass in early position to a raise. Pass in early position if there is likely to be a raise behind you. Call in late position, preferably against several opponents where you are getting a good return should you flop a set. Only raise in the blinds heads up against weak opponents. * Fours, Threes and Twos - Pass in early position. Only play in pots where there are at least three opponents (e.g.two limpers and a big blind). Always try and avoid playing these hands unless you are last to act after the flop. posted by Darren Power on 10:32 PM Come Racing on 20th October with Victor Chandler Victor Chandler is pleased to be able to offer all customers the special offer of Two Grandstand & Paddock entrances for the price of only one at both Chepstow and Newcastle Racecourse on Wednesday 20th October.To take advantage of this superb offer, you need to book at least seven days in advance and follow the steps below:• Call the relevant Telephone Booking Hotline. • Quote the promotional code “Victor Chandler 2 for 1 Offer” • Have your Credit or Debit Card available for payment (£11 per 2 tickets). • Newcastle or Chepstow Racecourse will process your payment and take the relevant address details to send your tickets. Newcastle Racecourse 0191 236 2020 Chepstow Racecourse 01291 622 260 posted by Darren Power on 5:39 PM Fallon aims to ride on despite fall "Racing: Fallon aims to ride on despite fall By Richard Edmondson 12 October 2004 A heavy fall for Kieren Fallon at Leicester yesterday resulted in the champion jockey being taken to hospital, removed from the track by stretcher and ambulance. Although later discharged, the day may mark the moment when Fallon's challenge to Frankie Dettori for this year's jockeys' title collapsed as his rival was ensuring that even with full health it would be a tough task for the Irishman, a treble extending his lead in the championship race to 13."Independant Sport: posted by Darren Power on 10:49 AM BBC SPORT Tuesday's racing bulletin "The Five Live selection is Son of Greek Myth in the 1410 at Fontwell (all times BST). Tuesday's racing comes from Ayr, Leicester and Fontwell. Kieren Fallon has every intention of riding at Leicester despite his heavy fall at the course on Monday, according to his agent Dave Pollington. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 8:11 AM BBC SPORT| Fallon escapes injury in fall "Champion Flat jockey Kieren Fallon has escaped serious injury after a crashing fall at Leicester on Monday. The 39-year-old was stretchered off to hospital after tumbling from Maritima in the EBF Hare Maiden Fillies' Stakes. However, the six-time champion jockey was discharged from Leicester Royal Infirmary on Monday evening. According to his agent, Fallon should be ready to race at Leicester on Tuesday as he attempts to catch Frankie Dettori in the jockeys' championship. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 8:10 AM Monday, October 11, 2004BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Saturday's racing bulletin BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Saturday's racing bulletin: "The Five Live selection is Jonny Ebeneezer in the 1540 at York (all times BST). There are five racing meetings on Saturday but Salisbury has been abandoned as the course is waterlogged. The main fixture of the day is York which starts at 1335 and where the going is good. Frankie Dettori and Kieren Fallon will continue their battle for the jockeys' championship. Frankie has six rides while Kieren has seven. " posted by Darren Power on 1:12 PM Free Saturday Selections Fre Saturday selections courtesey of on-line-tips.co.uk are now available online at www.on-line-tips.co.uk/saturday posted by Darren Power on 8:41 AM Friday, October 08, 2004Sporting Odds free £25 bet Sporting Odds are offering a free £25 bet on the England Wales game for anybody opening a new account. Click Here posted by Darren Power on 6:04 PM Group of eBay's Top Female Sellers Will Launch Largest Barbie Online Charity Auction to Benefit Gilda's Club "A group of eBay's top female PowerSellers will launch the largest Barbie auction on eBay Thursday October 14th to benefit cancer group, Gilda's Club. The auction contains over 1,600 Barbie related items including vintage, rare and valuable Barbie dolls as well as brand new, in the box, Barbies. San Jose, CA (PRWEB) October 6, 2004 -- The eBay group, The Shabby But Chic PowerSellers (http://www.sbcp.us), will launch the largest Barbie auction ever listed on eBay, The World's Online Marketplace on Thursday, October 14. All proceeds of the auction will benefit the national charity organization Gilda�s Club (http://www.gildasclub.org)."Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 1:43 PM Sam a possible for Wet: Sporting Life - Racing "Victor Dartnall is considering the bet365 Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby on October 30 for the reappearance of his stable star Lord Sam. The eight-year-old was unbeaten over fences last term and had been a leading contender for the Royal & SunAlliance Chase at the Cheltenham Festival before being withdrawn due to a blood problem. 'He is fine, he has been in work for "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 1:37 PM Racehorse owners see reality bite "British racehorse owners in 2003 recovered in prize money just 28% of what they spent on upkeep and training fees, the Racing Post has reported. The sobering figures for would-be high-rollers ranked Britain 37th worldwide in terms of the percentage return on costs for owners. " Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 11:42 AM Thursday's racing bulletin from the BBC "The Five Live selection is Bekstar in the 1600 at Wincanton (all times BST). Irish trainer Aidan O'Brien has decided to enter Powerscourt in the Breeders Cup Classic, setting up a mouth-watering clash with Prix de l'arc de Triomphe winner Bago. " Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 8:27 AM Bet 365 Concession for Sprint Trophy The Coral Sprint Trophy is just one of six races due to be shown live on Channel 4 this Saturday, which means that our popular Channel 4 Offer will again be in operation. Back a winner at 4/1 or over in any of these races and receive a free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next live Channel 4 race. For example - Have £50 on an 11/2 winner in the 14.0 york. Have your £50 FREE BET on the 14.35 Newmarket, the next live Channel 4 race. If your FREE BET wins at 4/1 or over, have another £50 FREE BET on the 14.45 Bangor!Saturday’s Channel 4 races (subject to change):York: 14.05; 14.35; 15.05; 15.40 (Coral Sprint Trophy).Bangor: 14.45; 15.20. Click Here for full details posted by Darren Power on 6:34 AM Coral Sprint Trophy Sa Oct 9 – 15.40 BST Mutawaqed must have a great chance of improving on his third in last year’s race, particularly now he has been dropped 2lb since finishing fourth in the Ayr Gold Cup last time out. The ground at Ayr was on the soft side and connections believe the forecast faster conditions at York will be much more to his liking. Mutawaqed has already shown a definite liking for the course after two particularly good efforts from three runs at York, including last year’s third and a win in a valuable handicap over this trip of six furlongs back in July. With ticks in all of the right boxes – track, trip, ground, and handicap mark – he must take all the beating providing he gets the run of the race. In this respect he will benefit from the strong handling of jockey Eddie Ahern, who should know the horse well having won on him before. Should he not make the cut for the race (needs only three horses to drop out), then Smart Hostess would be the second choice. With only four runs this season she will be fresher than most, and looked to be coming to hand when third over this trip at Ripon a fortnight ago. Courtesey of Bet 365 posted by Darren Power on 6:31 AM Wednesday, October 06, 2004POST FLOP PROBABILITIES PART 2 It seems the whole world is into poker at the moment, I have played a few times online for very small stakes but haven't really made the time to play in anger, which I guess is the best way to learn. Anyhow I just came across this educational article courtesey of the 365 casino people that I will read later. I'll try and track down part 1. Post Flop Probabilities Part 2 The following table refers to the number of outs, and the probability of one of these outs appearing. If you have an open ended straight draw, you have 8 outs. You hold 10,J on a three-suited flop of 2,8,9. You know that you can win the pot with the four 7s or the four Qs. In Omaha, you may hold 7,10,J,Q so have 16 outs to give you the nuts : four 6s, three 7s, three 10s, three Js and three Qs. You are a favourite ! Should there be two hearts on the flop, and you have 10,J of hearts in your hand, then you can also add the A,K,3,4 and 5 of hearts, making 21 outs. The danger here though, is that an opponent may have a nut flush draw, which changes the hand from being a favourite, to an underdog. So be careful when counting outs. Don't get carried away. Many of them may not be sure winners. Paying for a draw in poker, that turns out to be a losing draw, is possibly the biggest crime you can commit. Don’t do it. The table shows the percentage chances of improvement after the flop has been dealt in a Hold 'em game. The first column shows the chances of improving with the next 'turn' card. The second column shows the chances of improving in the final two cards. Column 3 indicates the chances of improvement after 4 communal cards have been dealt, and only the final 'river' card is to come. There are slight differences between the first and last columns because the number of unknown cards in the pack is one less (you can see four on the flop as opposed to three). In Hold 'em should you have a flush draw, you have 9 winners from 47 cards in the pack after the flop. You have 9 winners out of 46 after the 'turn' card. Improve Improve Improve Outs On Turn In 2 Cards On River 1 2.1% 4.3% 2.2% 2 4.2% 8.4% 4.3% 3 6.4% 12.5% 6.5% 4 8.5% 16.5% 8.7% 5 10.7% 20.3% 10.9% 6 12.8% 24.1% 13.0% 7 14.9% 27.8% 15.2% 8 17.0% 31.5% 17.4% 9 19.1% 35.0% 19.6% 10 21.2% 38.4% 21.7% 11 23.4% 41.7% 24.0% 12 25.6% 45.0% 26.1% 13 27.7% 48.1% 28.3% 14 29.8% 51.2% 30.4% 15 31.9% 54.1% 32.6% 16 34.0% 57.0% 34.8% 17 36.2% 59.8% 37.0% 18 38.3% 62.4% 39.1% 19 40.4% 65.0% 41.3% 20 42.6% 67.5% 43.5% I would suggest that it may be worth printing this odds sheet and sticking it on your computer desk next to your screen. Note that these are Hold 'em percentages. When playing Omaha the odds are different because you have 4 cards in your hand. The number of unknowns after the flop is no longer 47 cards, but 45. In Omaha, it is also much easier to put opponents on exact hands. For example some opponents will only ever raise with top set. Therefore, you know two more cards, and can discount them from the 45 unknowns. So now your flush draw is 9 out of 43, but not all 9 are winners. Finally, just to re-iterate the above warning. These are odds on 'improvement'. They are not necessarily odds on winning the pot. Should your opponent have 'a set' (three of a kind) on the flop when you are chasing your flush draw, you are in bad shape. At least 1 of your flush draw cards also gives your opponent a full house. So you don't actually have 9 'winners'. Secondly, once you have hit your flush on the turn, your opponent will have 10 cards to improve (a 21.7% chance) of making a bigger hand on the river. So in reality, your flush draw will not win 35% of the time, and not even 25% of the time, in this case! Bet 365 posted by Darren Power on 5:57 PM Ascot ends era "It felt like abandoning a much-loved family home for a newer, bigger, grander one. Around virtually ever corner, happy memories prompted nostalgic sadness, but the assured certainty of a brighter future eased the pain. In such a mood, thousands of us left Ascot racecourse at the end of the three-day Finale meeting, the last fixture there for at least 20 months as the place is transformed. " full story: posted by Darren Power on 2:56 PM ROOSTER'S A BOOSTER FOR GANDOLFO: Sporting Life - "TUESDAY'S SELECTIONS: CATTERICK: 2.10 Harrys House, 2.40 Market Trend, 3.10 Sessay, 3.40 Oops, 4.10 Dont Call Me Derek, 4.40 Loughlorien, 5.10 Turn On The Style, 5.40 Brain Washed. HUNTINGDON: 2.20 Deferlant, 2.50 Rosetown, 3.20 Scotch Corner, 3.50 ROOSTER'S REUNION (NAP), 4.20 Redskin Raider, 4.50 Zealand. STRATFORD: 2.30 Kids Inheritance, 3.00 It's Wallace, 3.30 Three Eagles, 4.00 Teorban, 4.30 Tarongo, 5.00 Silencio. The Champion Hurdle-winning colours of Terry Warner will be in evidence at Huntingdon on Tuesday on a day when the jumping action holds sway over moderate Flat fare. David Gandolfo saddles Rooster's Reunion for Warner in the RHT 40th Anniversary Hurdle, where he looks sure to take plenty of beating in the �12,000-added contest."Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 1:06 PM Breeders Cup on Bago Agenda "Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe hero Bago is all set to tackle the Breeders' Cup Classic at Lone Star Park in Texas on October 30. The Niarchos family-owned colt was on Monday given the go-ahead for the end of season championship - providing he emerges from Sunday's exertions at Longchamp in good shape. Alan Cooper, racing manager to the owners, said: 'We'll see how he takes his Arc win over the next few days but the plan is to go for the Classic.'" Full story: posted by Darren Power on 11:22 AM BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Tuesday's racing bulletin "The Five Live selection is Hot Shots in the 1550 at Huntingdon (all times BST). Britain's leading hope at the forthcoming Breeders' Cup meeting, Rakti, is almost certain not to make the line-up for the Breeders' Cup Classic, according to his trainer Michael Jarvis. " Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 10:20 AM Britain leads the world in gambling bonanza "The astonishing growth in gambling around the world, including a forecast fivefold increase in UK betting turnover in the three years since 2001, is revealed in an authoritative report published today. While the world economy has been stalling, the net total lost by punters around the globe has surged 12.2pc since 2000 to $208billion, according to the Midlands-based Global Betting and Gaming Consultants (GBGC)." Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 8:38 AM Attraction back on top "Attraction made a stunning return to Newmarket as she raced to victory in the Sun Chariot Stakes. Kevin Darley pushed the 11-4 shot out in front right from the off and the three-year-old showed great stamina to keep her nose ahead to the finish." Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 6:49 AM Monday, October 04, 2004Get Racing UK free with Victor Chandler Subscribing to RACING UK now costs £20 per month. But as a Victor Chandler customer if you sign-up to RACING UK you'll get your initial month's subscription credited to your account as a £20 Free Bet. PLUS: After that‚ if you have at least 10 bets of £5+ on racing or sports in a month‚ we'll credit you with a £20 Voucher to cover the following month's subscription fee!!! Click Here & then follow the What's New link at the bottom left of the page posted by Darren Power on 2:33 PM Bradley awaits verdict "Former top jockey Graham Bradley is set to learn on Friday if his appeal against a five-year ban from horse racing has been successful. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 1:26 PM Tap All Set To Turn It On "Tap Dance City will jet into France later today ahead of an audacious tilt at Sunday's Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp. The seven-year-old is due to arrive at Charles de Gaulle airport this afternoon before travelling on to John Hammond's yard where he will be stabled."Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 12:07 PM Iceman out to freeze rivals "Iceman is looking to get back to winning ways in the Shadwell Stud Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Friday. The two-year-old, who has been well-backed for next year's 2,000 Guineas, won the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 10:39 AM BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | Friday's racing bulletin "The Five Live selection is Razzcala in the 1350 at Newmarket (all times BST). Frankie Dettori upped the pace in the jockeys' championship on Thursday with a treble at Goodwood and the Italian has seven rides at Newmarket this afternoon. "Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 10:06 AM BBC SPORT | Other Sport | Horse Racing | One Cool Cat retired "One of last year's leading juveniles One Cool Cat has been retired to stud after fracturing a hind leg on the gallops. Much had been expected from the Aidan O'Brien-trained colt this season after he won two Group One races as a two-year-old. " Full Story: posted by Darren Power on 7:38 AM |
Previous PostsArchives
|
